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Week 18: The Rookie: Feds Is Likely To Be Renewed

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Week 18: The Rookie: Feds Is Likely To Be Renewed

Jan 16
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Week 18: The Rookie: Feds Is Likely To Be Renewed

tvgrimreaper.substack.com

The Rookie: Feds is likely to be renewed. It’s ABC’s top rated rookie show (out of only 3 so far!), and that’s likely to get it a season 2.

In news since last week, to no one’s surprise, ABC renewed Abbott Elementary, and CBS renewed Ghosts. And since I had, and still have, no idea what would happen to the WB & CBS shows on the CW, the renewal of All American was somewhat surprising, as will all future CW renewals this season.

Shows at some risk, but still predicting renewal

Ancient dramas: Grey’s Anatomy, Blue Bloods, NCIS:LA, NCIS. All these shows ratings are fine, but their futures depend on their non-public syndication deals. Don’t be shocked if any of them are canceled.

Sixth season shows: The Good Doctor, Station 19, The Resident. Again, ratings are fine for renewal. Shows typically renegotiate salaries after season 6. That often becomes a catalyst for cancellation.

Predictions/Status:

All predictions are for renewal for the 2023-24 broadcast season, or cancellation by the end of the 2022-23 broadcast season.

ABC

Likely Canceled by May, 2023

  • The Goldbergs: old, expensive, ratings no longer great

  • Alaska Daily: lowest rated of ABC’s scripted shows this season

Likely Renewed for ’23-‘24

  • Big Sky

  • Grey’s Anatomy

  • Home Economics

  • Station 19

  • The Conners

  • The Good Doctor

  • The Rookie

  • The Rookie: Feds

  • Will Trent

Renewed for ’23-‘24

  • Abbott Elementary, renewed 1/11/23

Renanceled*, ending in ‘22-'23

  • A Million Little Things

Dumped to Summer ‘23, dead

  • The Wonder Years

CBS

Likely Canceled

  • So Help Me Todd: lowest rated CBS rookie show

Likely Renewed for ’23-‘24

  • Blue Bloods

  • Bob Hearts Abishola

  • CSI: Vegas

  • East New York

  • NCIS

  • NCIS: Hawaii

  • NCIS: Los Angeles

  • SWAT, season 6 shows at risk due to likely salary renegotiation

  • The Neighborhood

Renewed for ’23-‘24

  • Equalizer

  • Ghosts

  • FBI

  • FBI: International

  • FBI: Most Wanted

  • Fire Country

  • Young Sheldon

CW

🤷 What’s up with CW predictions?

Nexstar purchased 75% of the CW network in 2022. CBS & WB now own just 12.5% of the network each.

Nexstar has a deal obligating them to carry CBS & WB shows on the CW for the 2022-23 season. Nexstar can renew the deal at its option on an annual basis and carry CBS/WB shows longer, but what it will do is anyone’s guess.

  • All American: Homecoming

  • Coroner

  • Family Law

  • Kung Fu

  • Professionals

  • Superman & Lois

  • The Winchesters

  • Walker

  • Walker Independence

Renewed for ’23-‘24

  • All American

Renanceled*, ending in '22-'23

  • Nancy Drew

  • Riverdale

  • The Flash

Canceled, ending in '22-'23

  • Stargirl

Fox

Likely Canceled

  • Fantasy Island: it could return to the summer, but it’ll never air in-season again.

Likely Renewed for ’23-‘24

  • 9-1-1

  • Alert: Missing Persons Unit

  • Bob’s Burgers

  • Call Me Kat

  • Family Guy

  • Simpsons

  • The Cleaning Lady

  • The Great North

  • The Resident

  • Welcome to Flatch

Renewed for ’23-‘24

  • Krapopolis

  • Grimsburg

Canceled

  • Monarch

NBC

Likely Renewed for ’23-‘24

  • Chicago PD

  • Chicago Med

  • Chicago Fire

  • La Brea

  • Law & Order

  • Law & Order: OC

  • Law & Order: SVU

  • Lopez v. Lopez

  • Young Rock

Renewed for ’23-‘24

  • Magnum, PI

  • Quantum Leap

Renanceled*, ending in '22-'23

  • New Amsterdam

The Reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 5-0

  • Right: Monarch, Quantum Leap, Fire Country, Abbott Elementary, Ghosts

  • Wrong:

*Renanceled = it was announced that a show’s next season will be its final one, before that final season began.

How Can You Follow The Reaper?

  • Twitter (the best way!) Daily TV ratings during the broadcast season, chatter & links to weekly predictions.

  • Email/Web Sign up for the weekly email predictions or read them on the web.

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Week 18: The Rookie: Feds Is Likely To Be Renewed

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