Week 30: NBC Sitcoms, As Usual, Are A Mess
NBC’s sitcoms have been low rated compared to their dramas for quite some time. This season is no exception. The four not yet renewed sitcoms are pitifully rated: American Auto (70% of NBC’s 2023 scripted average), Lopez v Lopez (63%), Young Rock (59%), Grand Crew (39%!).
Still, I’m only reasonably confident predicting Grand Crew as likely canceled. Cancellation of third season shows, like Young Rock, is rare, no matter the ratings. American Auto was renewed last season with 76% of NBC’s average rating. Is 70% this season that much worse? Lopez v Lopez relative ratings are terrible, but they’re better than Grand Crew’s last season (61%).
Some have suggested that NBC is giving its low rated sitcoms 2 years at a minimum. Last season’s decisions followed that theory. That would argue for American Auto cancellation and Lopez v Lopez renewal. But, is one season a trend?
In last week’s news: Everyone on The Resident was fired, confirming the obvious cancellation given that the sets had already been sold.
Predictions/Status:
All predictions are for renewal for the 2023-24 broadcast season, or cancellation by the end of the 2022-23 broadcast season.
ABC
Likely Canceled by May, 2023
Alaska Daily, lowest rated of ABC’s scripted shows
The Company You Keep, lowest rated of ABC’s spring rookie dramas
Likely Renewed for ’23-‘24
Big Sky, season 3 shows likely renewed even with low ratings
Home Economics, season 3 shows likely renewed even with low ratings
Not Dead Yet
Station 19, season 6 shows at risk due to likely salary renegotiation
The Conners
The Good Doctor, season 6 shows at risk due to likely salary renegotiation
The Rookie
The Rookie: Feds
Will Trent, borderline ratings for a rookie
Renewed for ’23-‘24
Abbott Elementary
Grey’s Anatomy
Ending in '22-'23
A Million Little Things, renanceled*
The Goldbergs, canceled
Dumped to Summer ‘23, dead
The Wonder Years
CBS
Likely Canceled by May, 2023
True Lies, CBS’s lowest rated scripted show
Likely Renewed for ’23-‘24
East New York, ratings are fine, could WB ownership be the holdup? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
SWAT, SWAT is in the "if you can make it cheap enough, we'll renew it" negotiation dance with CBS. I have no way to predict the outcome accurately, so I default to likely renewal.
Renewed for ’23-‘24
Blue Bloods
Bob Hearts Abishola
CSI: Vegas
Equalizer
Ghosts
FBI
FBI: International
FBI: Most Wanted
Fire Country
NCIS
NCIS: Hawaii
So Help Me Todd
Young Sheldon
The Neighborhood
Ending in '22-'23
NCIS:LA, canceled
CW
🤷 What’s up with CW predictions?
Nexstar purchased 75% of the CW network in 2022. CBS & WB now own just 12.5% of the network each.
Nexstar has a deal obligating them to carry CBS & WB shows on the CW for the 2022-23 season. Nexstar can renew the deal at its option on an annual basis and carry CBS/WB shows longer, but what it will do is anyone’s guess.
All American: Homecoming
Coroner
Family Law
Gotham Knights
Kung Fu
Professionals
Superman & Lois
The Winchesters
Walker
Walker Independence
Renewed for ’23-‘24
All American
Ending in '22-'23
Nancy Drew, renanceled*
Riverdale, renanceled*
Stargirl, canceled
The Flash, renanceled*
Fox
Likely Renewed for ’23-‘24
9-1-1
9-1-1 Lonestar
Animal Control
Call Me Kat, season 3 shows likely renewed even with terrible ratings
Fantasy Island, this could be renewed for either the regular season or summer
Welcome to Flatch, terrible ratings, but being a cheap international co-production saved it last season and might again
Renewed
Accused, renewed through ‘23-’24
Alert: Missing Persons Unit, renewed through ‘23-’24
Krapopolis, renewed through ‘25-’26
Grimsburg, renewed through ‘23-’24
Bob’s Burgers, renewed through ‘24-’25
Family Guy, renewed through ‘24-’25
Simpsons, renewed through ‘24-’25
The Cleaning Lady, renewed through ‘23-’24
The Great North, renewed through ‘23-’24
Ending in '22-'23
Monarch, canceled
The Resident, canceled
NBC
Likely Canceled by May, 2023
Grand Crew, lowest rated NBC scripted show
Likely Renewed for ’23-‘24
American Auto, in danger if NBC is canning their low rated sitcoms after 2 seasons
Chicago PD, renewed 4/10Chicago Med, renewed 4/10Chicago Fire, renewed 4/10Law & Order, renewed 4/10Law & Order: OC, renewed 4/10Law & Order: SVU,ancient dramas always at risk, depends on the syndication deal, renewed 4/10Lopez v. Lopez, terrible ratings, but NBC may be giving its low rated sitcoms 2 seasons to fail
Young Rock, season 3 shows likely renewed even with low ratings
Renewed for ’23-‘24
Chicago PD
Chicago Med
Chicago Fire
La Brea, likely renanceled*
Law & Order
Law & Order: OC
Law & Order: SVU
Magnum, PI
Night Court
Quantum Leap
Ending in '22-'23
New Amsterdam, renanceled*
The Blacklist, renanceled*
The Reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 28-2
Right: Monarch, Quantum Leap, Fire Country, Abbott Elementary, Ghosts, The Neighborhood, Bob Hearts Abishola, Bob’s Burgers, Family Guy, Simpsons, La Brea, The Cleaning Lady, Night Court, NCIS, NCIS:Hawaii, CSI:Vegas, The Goldbergs, Accused, Alert: Missing Persons Unit, Grey’s Anatomy, Blue Bloods, The Resident, Chicago Med, Chicago PD, Chicago Fire, Law & Order, Law & Order: OC, Law & Order: SVU
Wrong: NCIS:LA, So Help Me Todd
*Renanceled = it was announced that the show’s next season will be its final one, before that final season began.
How Can You Follow The Reaper?